EMSpice 3 is a multiphysics framework for coupled electromigration, thermomigration, and IR-drop analysis of real power-grid networks — driven by realistic spatial thermal maps, Joule heating, iterative resistance feedback, and Monte Carlo lifetime prediction.
Traditional EM models (Black's equation, Blech's limit) are over-conservative, and even physics-based Korhonen solvers usually assume a uniform die temperature. EMSpice 3 closes that gap — it jointly incorporates Joule heating, practical chip-level thermal maps, coupled EM/TM stress evolution, iterative resistance feedback, and Monte Carlo lifetime prediction in a single sign-off-ready flow.
A complete design-to-failure pipeline for power-grid reliability, built for realistic full-chip designs.
Solves the discretized Korhonen stress equation coupled with an MNA IR-drop solver, capturing electromigration and thermomigration together with the electrical network.
Accepts external chip-level temperature maps (including real measured profiles) instead of assuming a uniform die — spatial hotspot alignment can dominate average temperature in setting reliability.
Computes per-node, per-segment wire temperature from current density and path resistance, resolving localized self-heating peaks superimposed on the ambient field.
Closes the electrical–thermal–reliability loop: void-driven resistance changes are written back to the netlist so every IR-drop solve reflects the current aging state of the grid.
Re-runs the full pipeline across sampled material parameters to produce TTF distributions, not just a single number — revealing strongly design-dependent variation sensitivity.
Operates on power-grid netlists from both the open-source OpenROAD flow and Synopsys ICC / Fusion Compiler, retaining via resistances for accurate early-failure assessment — validated on six industrial-scale designs.
A scriptable command-line interface and structured data interface make EMSpice 3 fully agentic-flow aware — it plugs into any agentic EDA flow to drive automated, closed-loop IR-drop and EM sign-off analysis, with every input and output exposed for programmatic control by AI agents and orchestration scripts.
From extracted netlist to aging trajectory in a single coupled loop — with optional steady-state screening and Krylov acceleration on the heavy trees.
Power-grid netlist, a YAML of material/solver parameters, and an optional spatial thermal map.
An optional steady-state pass prunes trees that can never fail, concentrating compute on mortal trees.
MNA returns nodal voltages and branch current densities; the thermal field is loaded and cached per step.
Per tree, the solver evolves hydrostatic stress, tracks void nucleation & growth — big trees via rational Krylov, small trees via backward Euler.
Via-aware early/late failure updates are written back to the netlist, closing the loop into the next aging step.
Projects each n-node stress system onto an order-q subspace (q << n). A shifted resolvent regularizes the Neumann singularity for stable convergence, dispatched only when n ≥ max(3q,30).
Enforces the zero-flux void condition at interior junction nodes via a Robin stencil — no dynamic tree splitting or matrix re-meshing at runtime.
Retains via resistances through netlist conversion and checks early-failure (open-circuit) conditions continuously during void growth, not just at nucleation.
LRU basis caching, loop-free vectorized time stepping on uniform grids, and a single BLAS dgemm batch lift back to full space.
Across real designs, equal-average thermal profiles produce different mortal-tree counts, void locations, and time-to-failure — proving that average temperature alone is insufficient for sign-off.
| Thermal profile | Avg (K) | Max (K) | Mortal | TTF (s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform 353K | 353.0 | 353.0 | 7 | 1.32×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 320K) | 320.6 | 345.9 | 14 | 3.01×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 353K) | 353.4 | 387.1 | 18 | 2.47×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 373K) | 373.6 | 407.3 | 18 | 1.45×10⁷ |
| Qualcomm (avg 309K) | 309.6 | 336.9 | 12 | 1.87×10⁷ |
| Qualcomm (avg 353K) | 353.2 | 387.6 | 16 | no fail |
| Qualcomm (avg 373K) | 373.4 | 407.7 | 16 | no fail |
Two 353K maps with nearly identical max temperature (387.1K vs 387.6K) give opposite outcomes — the baseline map fails at ~9.4 months while the broad Qualcomm map never crosses the threshold, because its hotspot doesn't align with the critical current paths.
| Thermal profile | Avg (K) | Max (K) | Mortal | TTF (s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform 353K | 353.0 | 353.0 | 207 | 1.05×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 320K) | 320.4 | 352.7 | 206 | 1.04×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 353K) | 353.1 | 385.4 | 206 | 1.05×10⁷ |
| Joule (avg 373K) | 373.3 | 405.6 | 206 | 1.05×10⁷ |
| Qualcomm (avg 309K) | 309.6 | 341.8 | 206 | 1.01×10⁷ |
| Qualcomm (avg 353K) | 353.2 | 385.4 | 206 | 1.00×10⁷ |
| Qualcomm (avg 373K) | 373.4 | 405.6 | 206 | 1.00×10⁷ |
With ~206 deeply mortal trees, M1 current densities push nearly the entire grid far past the nucleation threshold. The TTF stays clamped near 10⁷ s even as max temperature ranges over 60K — a regime where the failure time is deterministic.
Variation sensitivity is design-dependent. Designs with a few marginally mortal trees benefit most from statistical analysis; deeply mortal designs are nearly deterministic. For RISC-V, 87/100 runs failed (TTF 0.60–1.23 yr) and 13 were censored at the simulation horizon.
Actual EMSpice 3 output on the RISC-V and ARM Cortex-A power grids — extracted grids, coupled EM/TM stress maps, IR-drop maps, input thermal fields, and Monte Carlo lifetime distributions.









All figures are generated by EMSpice 3 on Synopsys-extracted power grids (SAED32 32/28 nm library).
Power-grid networks extracted from Synopsys Fusion Compiler, synthesized and placed-and-routed with the SAED32 (Synopsys 32/28 nm Generic) library.
| Design | Trees | Max br. | Max nodes | Init IR % | Final IR % | TTF (s) | Mortal | Base (s) | Krylov (s) | Speedup | Err % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES_new | 97 | 69 | 3,450 | 6.14 | 6.86 | >5.0×10⁷ | 688 | 4.56 | 3.76 | 1.21× | 0 |
| armcore_pad | 68 | 34 | 1,700 | 0.29 | 0.29 | >5.0×10⁷ | 0 | 2.35 | 1.99 | 1.18× | 0 |
| JPEG_new | 178 | 126 | 6,300 | 6.56 | 6.77 | >5.0×10⁷ | 1,821 | 16.31 | 12.90 | 1.26× | 0 |
| armcore_logic | 208 | 218 | 10,900 | 8.85 | 22.21 | 1.05×10⁷ | 206 | 40.60 | 31.48 | 1.29× | 0 |
| dual_ram | 55 | 29 | 1,450 | 0.09 | 0.10 | >5.0×10⁷ | 179 | 2.32 | 1.55 | 1.50× | 0 |
| risc_core | 186 | 115 | 5,750 | 6.19 | 29.64 | 2.47×10⁷ | 18 | 5.40 | 4.45 | 1.21× | 0 |
The largest design (armcore_logic — 208 trees, up to 10,900 nodes) completes in ~31.5 s with Krylov acceleration; the smallest (dual_ram) finishes in under 1.6 s. risc_core's final IR-drop jumps from 6.19% to 29.64% with only 18 mortal trees, underscoring that a few high-current trees can dominate degradation.
Spatial thermal fields, resistance feedback, void-growth physics, and stochastic material variation — handled together, at full-chip scale.